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Security
Malware Analysis
How big are your chances to be infected?
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<blockquote data-quote="ForgottenSeer 89360" data-source="post: 916608"><p>I think McAfee's threat reports may be a more reliable source of information.</p><p>[URL unfurl="true"]https://www.mcafee.com/enterprise/en-us/threat-center/mcafee-labs/reports.html[/URL]</p><p>According to McAfee, 419 threats are detected per minute.</p><p>That makes 25140 per hour, 603360 per day and if the tendency continues, 18 100 800 per month.</p><p>For a whole year, this would be 217 209 600.</p><p>If next year you increase that with just 1%, that would be an increase of 2 172 096 samples or a total of 219 381 696.</p><p></p><p>Or Trend Micro</p><p>[URL unfurl="true"]https://www.trendmicro.com/vinfo/us/security/research-and-analysis/threat-reports/roundup/securing-the-pandemic-disrupted-workplace-trend-micro-2020-midyear-cybersecurity-report[/URL]</p><p></p><p>Or Avast</p><p>[URL unfurl="true"]https://press.avast.com/hubfs/media-materials/kits/2020%20Cybersecurity%20Predictions/Avast%202020%20Threat%20Landscape%20Report.pdf?hsLang=en[/URL]</p><p></p><p>Or Kaspersky:</p><p>[URL unfurl="true"]https://securelist.com/it-threat-evolution-q3-2020-non-mobile-statistics/99404/[/URL]</p><p></p><p>Bitdefender</p><p>[URL unfurl="true"]https://www.bitdefender.com/files/News/CaseStudies/study/366/Bitdefender-Mid-Year-Threat-Landscape-Report-2020.pdf[/URL]</p><p></p><p>How much of this malware will reach you, as a user, depends on security posture, habits, malware form, methods of propagation, hackers mood, location and many other variables.</p><p></p><p>Let me also back this up with a "for instance".</p><p></p><p>John is a regular user, who uses paid services, such as Netflix, Apple Music and others to stream contents. He doesn't use much software and has never had an alert from his antivirus product in the past 5 years.</p><p>John is looking for a specific movie, which is not available in his region, so a friend of his tells him about torrenting.</p><p>"Bro I find everything on torrents, just google <movieName torrent> and it will come up, I'm telling you"</p><p>John follows the advise and searches on Google. He opens the first result, and downloads a suspicious *.exe.</p><p>This exe is not a movie, but rather a brand new ransomware downloader.</p><p>Behavioural blocker detonates the malware in few minutes, but files are already encrypted.</p><p></p><p>This is a very innocent scenario in fact, John may have downloaded a credentials stealer and his bank account may have ended up drained.</p><p>It even happened to me, I shopped on a friend's computer once, as soon as I finished shopping, my bank notified me about a transaction of £157 for "Diesel Online Store, Milano, Italy" when I was actually shopping for a vape. This was of course blocked.</p><p>When I scanned the PC, I found Dridex was running and his AV was expired.</p><p></p><p>So from the example above, we can see how CHANGE OF HABITS and one simple mistake might render an average, not-so-unsavvy user infected, even though for the past 5 years he never had an infection.</p><p></p><p>Conclusion: with so many variables in users behaviour, current trends (what's going on in the world), malware form and malware authors skills, it is completely impossible to predict accurately how big your chances of infection are tomorrow, even less in 10 years from now.</p><p>Security is to be taken seriously.</p></blockquote><p></p>
[QUOTE="ForgottenSeer 89360, post: 916608"] I think McAfee's threat reports may be a more reliable source of information. [URL unfurl="true"]https://www.mcafee.com/enterprise/en-us/threat-center/mcafee-labs/reports.html[/URL] According to McAfee, 419 threats are detected per minute. That makes 25140 per hour, 603360 per day and if the tendency continues, 18 100 800 per month. For a whole year, this would be 217 209 600. If next year you increase that with just 1%, that would be an increase of 2 172 096 samples or a total of 219 381 696. Or Trend Micro [URL unfurl="true"]https://www.trendmicro.com/vinfo/us/security/research-and-analysis/threat-reports/roundup/securing-the-pandemic-disrupted-workplace-trend-micro-2020-midyear-cybersecurity-report[/URL] Or Avast [URL unfurl="true"]https://press.avast.com/hubfs/media-materials/kits/2020%20Cybersecurity%20Predictions/Avast%202020%20Threat%20Landscape%20Report.pdf?hsLang=en[/URL] Or Kaspersky: [URL unfurl="true"]https://securelist.com/it-threat-evolution-q3-2020-non-mobile-statistics/99404/[/URL] Bitdefender [URL unfurl="true"]https://www.bitdefender.com/files/News/CaseStudies/study/366/Bitdefender-Mid-Year-Threat-Landscape-Report-2020.pdf[/URL] How much of this malware will reach you, as a user, depends on security posture, habits, malware form, methods of propagation, hackers mood, location and many other variables. Let me also back this up with a "for instance". John is a regular user, who uses paid services, such as Netflix, Apple Music and others to stream contents. He doesn't use much software and has never had an alert from his antivirus product in the past 5 years. John is looking for a specific movie, which is not available in his region, so a friend of his tells him about torrenting. "Bro I find everything on torrents, just google <movieName torrent> and it will come up, I'm telling you" John follows the advise and searches on Google. He opens the first result, and downloads a suspicious *.exe. This exe is not a movie, but rather a brand new ransomware downloader. Behavioural blocker detonates the malware in few minutes, but files are already encrypted. This is a very innocent scenario in fact, John may have downloaded a credentials stealer and his bank account may have ended up drained. It even happened to me, I shopped on a friend's computer once, as soon as I finished shopping, my bank notified me about a transaction of £157 for "Diesel Online Store, Milano, Italy" when I was actually shopping for a vape. This was of course blocked. When I scanned the PC, I found Dridex was running and his AV was expired. So from the example above, we can see how CHANGE OF HABITS and one simple mistake might render an average, not-so-unsavvy user infected, even though for the past 5 years he never had an infection. Conclusion: with so many variables in users behaviour, current trends (what's going on in the world), malware form and malware authors skills, it is completely impossible to predict accurately how big your chances of infection are tomorrow, even less in 10 years from now. Security is to be taken seriously. [/QUOTE]
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