Although the "Kill the elderly poster" is a nice and funny read, most websites serving ads serve some ads of their own, but mostly offer advertising space which is filled in by bidder auctions on advertising platforms (networks). The owner of the website has no control on the ads pushed onto his advertising space, so it is legally hard to target the website owner as responsible.
To show you relevant ads, those adserving networks have to track you to get to known your preferences and interests (preferable across website visits and from different devices). Google thinks its competitors are the reason people are annoyed and install adblockers. The competition just does not have enough big-data to offer good interest based targeting algorithms and fit for purpose tracking mechanisms. These competitors not only annoy the users but Google also (because their clients don't use Google's platform
).
To prevent more loss of advertising income due to adblockers, Google offers new and enhanced mechanisms to track and target you (privacy sandbox and interest cohorts). These enhanced privacy and tracking mechanisms make it harder for Google competitors to offer similar level of returning visitor insights (cross browsing session and cross device tracking). At the same time Google wants to regain control on the content by taking the blocking away from the adblock extension. Not only handles the adblocker the actual blocking over to the browser, it is also limited to use a limited set of Google defined block rules, can't push on the fly rules updates and is restricted in the number of rules it can use.
Some of the MT-forum members think (hope), that users will turn away massively to alternative browsers, but let's have a look at the numbers. The big three browsers on mobile are Chrome (62%), Safari (28%) and Samsung Browser (5%). The big five on desktop are Chrome (65%), Safari (9.8%), Edge (9.5%), Firefox (9.2%) and Brave (5%). On the mobile market the new Mv3 won't change a thing for browser usage: Chrome on Android does not has an adblocker. The only market in danger for Chrome is the desktop market.
In 2021 desktop browsers only contributed for 38% of the web traffic. The market share of website visitors using a desktop browser has been eroding and is expected to continue to shrink in the future also. This trend implies that the risk of people now using Chrome with an adblocker who switch to another browser will have less impact in two years from now. Let; s assume that when Mv3 becomes effective only 35% of the webtraffic comes Desktops.
An interesting study (
link) states that the "
The desktop adblocking is past its peak" Data from several studies show a decrease in adblock usage. From around 60% of the users installing an adblocker in 2016, to around 40 percent in 2022 (US 38% EU 40% and UK 42%). This seems in line with other projections from technical polls which show that around 40% of all Windows user agents have an adblocker installed.
Google would not be Google when they would not have factually substantiated their decision to make life harder for adblockers. When all 40 percent of the Windows users (75% of desktop) with an adblocker would change from Chrome to another browser the desktop market share of Chrome would drop with 18% only (62%x40%x75%). By the time Mv3 limitations are implemented, desktop based browsing only is 35% of the websites visits. Hence we are talking about 18%x35% is 6.3% of the webtraffic. Well 6.3% over a lot of turnover is still substantial you may think, but all desktop users now having installed an adblocker don't contribute to Google's advertising income!
So even when all Chrome users with adblocker would switch to another browser, it would not affect Google's revenue. A 100% switch seems unlikely, so every desktop user staying on Chrome will add to Google's advertising revenue. As above calculation shows, Google's decisions are data driven. When half of the adblock Chrome users walk away, Mv3 will result in a 3% turnover increase, so frankly my dear, Google does not give a ........ (famous last sentence of Gone with the wind)